When Does Everyone Think Zack Sabre, Jr. Is Dropping the Title, to Who and Why?

I've seen a lot of people say that he's dropping at The New Beginning against Goto, but most of the time it seems like an ironic take, or just because Goto is that person's favorite wrestler. Also, every conversation around The New Beginning turns into this sort of convo anyway. So I'd like to see everyone's guess for who and where, and why that may happen.

As for mine, I have 4 guesses:

  1. ZSJ drops to Goto, who serves as a transitional champ for whoever wins the New Japan Cup
  2. ZSJ holds until Dominion, where the new champ until Wrestle Kingdom is crowned; I imagine this is where a typical longer NJPW reign would end
  3. ZSJ drops to Takeshita at Forbidden Door, setting up a "NJPW's future Ace vs. Outsider" match at WK20
  4. ZSJ drops at Destruction after getting the big pop and win at Forbidden Door, which is in London this year

I can explain my rationale to anyone who replies, but I'd really like to hear others' thoughts!